The king called out his jet figthers...
Count me in the minority that thinks the President’s latest speech on the Israel/PLO conflict is rope-a-dope or as someone put it, “Saying nice doggie while you get a stick.” If this is not the case then this administration will be remembered as a failure and he will have squandered an opportunity to leave the world better than he found it. Here is why I think we are sandbagging:
Israel needed cover to pull out. They are getting what they need now to discredit Arafat and, when they pull back can be seen as giving the bloody peace process one more shot. Speaking of shots, recall that Bush demanded that the suicide attacks stop and outright declared them murder. When another Islamokazi paints the walls of a café with his or her (her- man is that culture FUBAR!) and a bunch of innocents’ blood and gore, Arafat and his PLO thugs will have shot themselves in the face. The US can step back, and say, “We tried,” and stay out of the way while Israel sets to the onerous task of cleaning out the life loathing fiends in her midst. Europe may whine but will be impotent to act. The rest of Araby will likely quail in the face of real force and leave their so called Palestinian brethren to their own devices. If the “street” rises up, so what? We’ve seen the best they have. Armed irregulars are of little use against trained soldiery (not to mention air superiority) in the open desert and I doubt Israel or the US is dumb enough to fight any conflict on the enemy’s terms.
Meanwhile, I am beginning to see a possible strategy for Iraq. It is a synthesis of what was learned in the first Gulf War and, more recently, in Afghanistan. While everybody talks about the tens of thousands of US ground pounders it’ll take to defeat Saddam, there is a different approach in the offing. Some insight is provided by a Wired item on COL Jack Warden USAF RET, the architect of the air campaign of the first Gulf War :
In other words, just like we were able to use a small number of ground assets and air superiority to leverage an indigenous force (the Northern alliance and later, fickle Afghan warlords) in the defeat of the Taliban, we should turn Saddam’s army against him. Our psyops people should make it clear to the Iraqi troops that Saddam is finished and now is the time to jump on the bandwagon. We could even broadcast footage of what happened to their fathers and older brothers last time we mixed it up. That, coupled with intense attacks on Saddam’s hidey holes and war infrastructure would let the rank and file know that salvation lies with us and Hussein, and those who are loyal to him, are doomed. This strategy also has the advantage of allowing the Iraqis to participate in their own liberation.
UPDATE: Count the Captian and the Potable Pontificator in as rope-a-dopers.
Count me in the minority that thinks the President’s latest speech on the Israel/PLO conflict is rope-a-dope or as someone put it, “Saying nice doggie while you get a stick.” If this is not the case then this administration will be remembered as a failure and he will have squandered an opportunity to leave the world better than he found it. Here is why I think we are sandbagging:
Israel needed cover to pull out. They are getting what they need now to discredit Arafat and, when they pull back can be seen as giving the bloody peace process one more shot. Speaking of shots, recall that Bush demanded that the suicide attacks stop and outright declared them murder. When another Islamokazi paints the walls of a café with his or her (her- man is that culture FUBAR!) and a bunch of innocents’ blood and gore, Arafat and his PLO thugs will have shot themselves in the face. The US can step back, and say, “We tried,” and stay out of the way while Israel sets to the onerous task of cleaning out the life loathing fiends in her midst. Europe may whine but will be impotent to act. The rest of Araby will likely quail in the face of real force and leave their so called Palestinian brethren to their own devices. If the “street” rises up, so what? We’ve seen the best they have. Armed irregulars are of little use against trained soldiery (not to mention air superiority) in the open desert and I doubt Israel or the US is dumb enough to fight any conflict on the enemy’s terms.
Meanwhile, I am beginning to see a possible strategy for Iraq. It is a synthesis of what was learned in the first Gulf War and, more recently, in Afghanistan. While everybody talks about the tens of thousands of US ground pounders it’ll take to defeat Saddam, there is a different approach in the offing. Some insight is provided by a Wired item on COL Jack Warden USAF RET, the architect of the air campaign of the first Gulf War :
"If we look back at the Gulf War, it seems to me that one of the biggest mistakes we made was in treating the Iraqi military as an enemy and thinking we had to destroy the Iraqi army in Kuwait and the Air Force and so forth," Warden said in recent phone interview.
"The reason I think it was a mistake is it was the Iraqi military that had the capability to do something with Saddam Hussein. We simply never told them during the course of war: Look, we'd be happy to help you, if you're willing to head north and take out this guy Saddam, who you don't like, either. My thought is in today's world, let's ... not target anything that's a traditional military target."
In other words, just like we were able to use a small number of ground assets and air superiority to leverage an indigenous force (the Northern alliance and later, fickle Afghan warlords) in the defeat of the Taliban, we should turn Saddam’s army against him. Our psyops people should make it clear to the Iraqi troops that Saddam is finished and now is the time to jump on the bandwagon. We could even broadcast footage of what happened to their fathers and older brothers last time we mixed it up. That, coupled with intense attacks on Saddam’s hidey holes and war infrastructure would let the rank and file know that salvation lies with us and Hussein, and those who are loyal to him, are doomed. This strategy also has the advantage of allowing the Iraqis to participate in their own liberation.
UPDATE: Count the Captian and the Potable Pontificator in as rope-a-dopers.
